Putin’s next 6 years: shadow of stagnation or light of reform?
April 12, 2018 7 min. read

After his record landslide victory on 18 March, Russian President Vladimir Putin likely knows he cannot rest on his laurels. With oil prices unlikely to rise anytime soon, national economic stagnation, a still heavily State-and-oligarch-controlled economy and an ever-growing shadow of confrontation with the West, Putin has his work cut out for the next six […]

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Russia’s Elections: The View from Siberia
March 29, 2018 6 min. read

Reports from Russian announced that Vladimir Putin won over 76% of the votes in his reelection bid March 18, with turnout over 67%. The view from Siberia was a little different. OSCE, the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, sent nearly 600 short-term, long-term, and other election observers to Russia.  In its next-day report, […]

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Russia’s ‘Invincible’ New Hypersonic Weapons
March 20, 2018 3 min. read

Russia had a bigly moment recently when announcing their new invincible weapons systems that use new nuclear propulsion systems and travel at hypersonic speeds. The claim that these weapons are unable to be intercepted by modern air defense systems could likely be true. Beyond the testing of American THAAD interceptor systems, there are no extremely […]

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Exclusive Interview: Alfa Bank’s Chief Economist on the outlook for Russia
February 26, 2018 13 min. read

The Russian economy returned to growth in 2017 after several years of recession. However, there are still major challenges ahead, including the need for budget reform, a financial sector overhaul, and the risk of sanctions. Natalia Orlova, Chief Economist and Head of Macro Insights at Alfa Bank, offers her expert view on these issues to GRI’s Michael […]

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Why Putin Likes the West
February 20, 2018 26 min. read

Allow me to make two observations before I turn to my remarks. The Mission statement of the Forum’s website asks that we be honest and direct.  And so, although I do not wish to appear overly harsh in my observations, nevertheless I am obliged to be frank and open.  Otherwise, why have a conference such […]

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No end in sight for conflict in Eastern Ukraine
January 24, 2018 6 min. read

The last year has seen a period of deadlock in Eastern Ukraine. As the armed conflict continues into 2018 amid fruitless attempts to reach a stable ceasefire, should we expect a flare-up in the Donbass region? Permanent ceasefire remains beyond reach The progress on Minsk II – the key agreement that was supposed to put […]

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Is Minsk II in danger?
January 19, 2018 5 min. read

The last year has seen a period of deadlock in Eastern Ukraine, as the armed conflict continues into 2018 amid fruitless attempts to reach a stable ceasefire. But as new factors emerge, should we expect a flare-up in the Donbass region? Permanent ceasefire remains beyond reach The progress on Minsk II – the key agreement […]

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5 reasons Russia’s banking system is heading for trouble
December 21, 2017 4 min. read

Russia’s recent bailout of two major banks will cost the country billions of rubles. But the future of the Russian banking system, and its impact on the nation’s economy, is still uncertain. Russia is finally emerging from a serious recession, with growth predicted for 2018. However, the recent rescue of B&N Bank and Otkritie Bank highlighted […]

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Partition Remains An Option Even After Aleppo
February 25, 2017 10 min. read

Neither a Putin-Assad hegemony nor an inclusive transitional government of a united Syria are solutions after Aleppo. Partition is the solution.

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What does the National Intelligence Council think of Russia?
February 16, 2017 4 min. read

Considering the prospects for Eurasia, it concludes that “Russia’s aggressive foreign policy will be a source of considerable volatility in the next five years.”

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Energy Could Keep U.S.-Russia Ties On Ice
January 21, 2017 7 min. read

By 2020, the U.S. could become the world’s third-largest LNG producer, cutting into Russia’s natural gas exports revenues and further weakening its economy.

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Are Cold War Politics Back?
November 18, 2016 3 min. read

The Clinton campaign linked hacks of the DNC to Russia. Snowden took refuge in Moscow. And the Obama administration has been linked to hacking of close allies.

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