Regional and Geopolitical Impact of Ethiopia Meltdown
March 28, 2018 6 min. read

The Horn of Africa is among the most congested, eventful, and most volatile geopolitical intersections on earth. It is where the West meets the East in a highly competitive game of strategic positioning for economic or hegemonic advantage. China and Turkey who, more or less, employ similar soft-power strategies have tangible investments in various countries […]

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How long will Egypt tolerate Sisi?
March 22, 2018 5 min. read

Egypt’s President, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, is slated to win elections on March 28. His only contender, Moussa Mostafa Moussa, is someone who has not only called himself a “big supporter” of Sisi, but has also worked as member, until he announced candidacy in the last minutes of a final deadline, on the president’s re-election campaign […]

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Warning signs of instability in Egypt
March 2, 2018 6 min. read

The latest data from our Risk Pulse collaboration show significant increases in potential instability and unrest in Egypt. Joseph Colonna explains how conditions are ripe for another wave of protest, with presidential elections due on 26-28 March. It’s not uncommon to hear Egyptians saying that the revolution failed – that it was hijacked by opportunists, while […]

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The Middle East’s Cold War Is Not Going Well for the Saudi’s
November 13, 2017 12 min. read

On Saturday afternoon November 4th from the Saudi capital of Riyadh, now former Lebanese Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri declared he resigned due to threat of assassination, saying, “I have sensed what is being plotted covertly to target my life.” The BBC reported that Hariri made multiple trips to Saudi Arabia (KSA) over the couple of […]

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The ‘Covfefe’ Coalition to Squeeze Qatar
June 11, 2017 7 min. read

While the diplomatic tension between Saudi Arabia and Qatar existed since the Arab Spring, the break up caught foreign policy experts by surprise.

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Partition Remains An Option Even After Aleppo
February 25, 2017 10 min. read

Neither a Putin-Assad hegemony nor an inclusive transitional government of a united Syria are solutions after Aleppo. Partition is the solution.

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Trump and al-Sisi Set to Launch Strategic Rapprochement
December 30, 2016 4 min. read

Egypt’s strongman President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi could emerge as one of the potential winners of Trump’s foreign policy strategy in the Middle East.

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Turkish and Egyptian Occupation in Iraq and Syria
September 8, 2016 9 min. read

After the defeat of ISIS, temporary Turkish and Egyptian occupation zones should be imposed in Sunni provinces of Iraq and Syria prior to partition.

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Dammed If You Do, Damned If You Don’t: Cooperation in the Nile Basin
August 7, 2016 7 min. read

Issues like water governance and cross-border coordination of energy supply are likely to become much more thorny diplomatic exercises to deal with.

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The Myth of Islamic Banking
July 31, 2016 5 min. read

Islamists not only look at religion as a panacea to political issues, but also as a provider of social justice and an engine of economic prosperity.

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