Sun Tzu’s Seven Searching Questions for the War in Ukraine
March 10, 2022 8 min. read

Most of you will have heard of Sun Tzu- the Chinese author and military tactician who rose to prominence in the 4th century BC. Some of you may be familiar with his most prominent work- The Art of War.  By now, you have heard about Vladmir Putin’s unwarranted aggression and despicable drive towards conquest in […]

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Ukraine’s South as a New Geopolitical Flashpoint
March 7, 2019 6 min. read

  Four factors make further tensions between Russia and Ukraine along the shores of the Crimean peninsula and Azov Sea probable.   On 25 November 2018, at the Kerch Strait, Russia attacked as well as captured three Ukrainian navy vessels, and arrested their 24 sailors. The maritime clash indicates that the focal point of the […]

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Why Putin Likes the West
February 20, 2018 26 min. read

Allow me to make two observations before I turn to my remarks. The Mission statement of the Forum’s website asks that we be honest and direct.  And so, although I do not wish to appear overly harsh in my observations, nevertheless I am obliged to be frank and open.  Otherwise, why have a conference such […]

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Wisdom of the Crowds on a North Korean Collapse
October 23, 2017 5 min. read

    As part of the 69th anniversary of the Armed Forces Day in South Korea, special army soldiers staged a skills demonstration performance at the 2nd Fleet Parade Ground in Pyeongtaek.  (The National/UAE) On October 1, China kicked off its celebration of the 68th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic with a […]

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Despite Hurdles, Russia’s Eurasian Dream Lives On
February 22, 2017 5 min. read

Economic dependence and shared cultures and borders make it nearly impossible for the former Soviet republics to break ties with the Kremlin without shooting themselves in the foot.

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What does the National Intelligence Council think of Russia?
February 16, 2017 4 min. read

Considering the prospects for Eurasia, it concludes that “Russia’s aggressive foreign policy will be a source of considerable volatility in the next five years.”

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Trump and al-Sisi Set to Launch Strategic Rapprochement
December 30, 2016 4 min. read

Egypt’s strongman President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi could emerge as one of the potential winners of Trump’s foreign policy strategy in the Middle East.

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Kang Shen and the CCP from an IR Perspective
June 28, 2016 7 min. read

Kang Sheng was part of the first generation of international relations specialists in communist China and the designer of the “China–USSR Grand Debate”.

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The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict 2.0.
May 31, 2016 3 min. read

The fighting outbreak in Nagorno-Karabakh was the largest since the 1994 Bishkek Protocol ceasefire. However, the situation has now “normalized.”

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What a Trump Presidency Could Mean for U.S.-Russia Relations
March 29, 2016 5 min. read

A Donald Trump presidency could certainly bring some positive dynamics to U.S.-Russia relations but will not be a game-changer.

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