4. The Third Nuclear Age

Great Decisions resources

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Documents

SIPRIYB25c06.pdf

World Nuclear Forces — SIPRI (Great for grounding discussion in facts)

safeguards0806.pdf

IAEA Safeguards: Non-Proliferation Tools Explained. (Central to understanding how the NPT regime works in practice)

Nuclear-Weapons-Under-International-Law.pdf

Nuclear Weapons Under International Law: An Overview (Good for context on norms and treaties.)

YB07-477-12.pdf

Arms Control and Non-Proliferation Treaties — SIPRI Yearbook 2007 (Historical Treaty Context)

text-of-the-treaty.pdf

Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) — Full Text (UN)

IAEAsafwegaurds.pdf

IAEA INFCIRC/153 — Safeguards Agreement Model Text

Resources

Images

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Fragile Stability
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Deterrence Balance
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Nuclear Dominos
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The Nuclear Club
WarheadInventories_BarChart_2025v2.png
2025 Estimated Global Nuclear Warhead Inventories
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Nuclear Weapons: Who Has What at a Glance – Arms COntrol Association

Videos

reat Decisions 2026: Ruptured Alliances & the Risk of Nuclear Proliferation (WorldOregon). Speaker: Alexander Montgomery, Professor, Political Science, Reed College

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Great Decisions – World Oregon

Examines historical accidents and near-miss incidents involving U.S. nuclear weapons, highlighting the risk side of nuclear arsenals beyond intentional use.

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Command and Control: Nuclear weapons and the illusion of safety

Portions of the Command and Control documentary are available in segments; they provide context for the mechanics of nuclear command systems and risks of miscalculation.

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Command and Control – PBS

PBS’s The Bomb covers nuclear origins through contemporary political implications, giving a broad historical arc that parallels the logic in Topic 4.

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“The Bomb” (Documentary) Nuclear weapons – PBS

Focuses on J. Robert Oppenheimer and the Manhattan Project, foundational history that helps explain the strategic logic that underpins deterrence in the nuclear age.

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The Day After Trinity — (Oppenheimer & Manhattan Project)

Uses archival footage to show how nuclear weapons were portrayed and understood in early decades; good for cultural framing.

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Atomic Café — Historical Compilation Documentary

Long-form panels featuring nuclear experts in educational settings.

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Critical Nuclear Issues — Panel Discussions (Carnegie / CFR / CSIS)

Former U.S. Senator Richard Lugar joined the Foreign Policy Association in discussing how to prevent nuclear proliferation and the way ahead for U.S. nuclear policy.

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Nuclear Policy: Taking Stock and Looking Ahead with Richard Lugar – Foreign Policy Association

W. Michael Reisman, Myres S. McDougal Professor of International Law at the Yale Law School joined the Foreign Policy Association to discuss how to prevent nuclear proliferation and the way ahead for U.S. nuclear policy.

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Nuclear Policy: Taking Stock and Looking Ahead with Michael Reisman – Foreign Policy Association

Beatrice Fihn and her organization, the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons, are the recipients of the 2017 Nobel Peace Prize. In May, 2017, she spoke on "The Case for a Nuclear Ban Treaty" at the Foreign Policy Association's high level meeting on nuclear policy at the United Nations.

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The Case for a Nuclear Ban Treaty – Foreign Policy Association

Balanced discussion on arms control erosion, modernization, and what guardrails remain possible in the Third Nuclear Age.

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The Future of U.S. Nuclear Arms Control Policy — Carnegie Endowment Panel

A real Great Decisions-style session showing how groups engage with nuclear risk, alliance uncertainty, and proliferation concerns through both presentation and discussion.

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Group video: First United Methodist Church of Palo Alto

Format: Lecture + Discussion — Public Library Program. Shows how facilitators introduce nuclear security topics and guide participants through complex issues like deterrence and alliance trust.

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Group video: Manitowoc Public Library

Related Organizations

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs — Nuclear Issues

One of the world’s leading academic centers on nuclear deterrence, arms control, and escalation risk. The Belfer Center combines policy realism with historical analysis and is widely cited across the political spectrum.

Nuclear Proliferation International History Project (Wilson Center)

Provides declassified documents, timelines, and historical analysis explaining how nuclear decisions were actually made—excellent for understanding how we got here.

Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS) — Nuclear Issues

CSIS hosts a dedicated nuclear issues section covering deterrence, modernization, arms control, and emerging risks. Clear, policy-focused, and non-sensational.

Stockholm Forum on Peace and Development — WMD

An international platform focused on nuclear risk reduction, escalation management, and confidence-building measures, with a strong global and non-U.S. orientation.

Atomic Heritage Foundation

An educational nonprofit preserving the history of the Manhattan Project and the early nuclear age, without advocacy framing.

Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

Provides plain-language background on nuclear weapons, treaties, and risks. While policy-engaged, its educational materials are accessible and fact-driven.

Bureau of Arms Control and Nonproliferation - Department of State

Explains the real-world mechanisms used to prevent miscalculation and accidental escalation—an often overlooked but crucial aspect of deterrence.

Arms Control Wonk (Educational Blog)

Run by respected nuclear experts, this site explains nuclear strategy, arms control, and missile issues in a surprisingly accessible way.

Recommended Readings

Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace: The Rise, Demise, and Revival of Arms Control (Amazon)

A definitive history of arms control from the Cold War to the present. It explains how deterrence alone was insufficient and how diplomatic guardrails were built — then partially dismantled — offering a big-picture context for the Third Nuclear Age. Read more

The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate (Amazon)

A classic and accessible debate between two leading theorists of nuclear proliferation. Waltz argues that proliferation can stabilize through deterrence, while Sagan emphasizes risk and miscalculation — perfect for framing discussion groups around competing explanations. Read more

The Second Nuclear Age: Strategy, Danger, and the New Power Politics (Amazon)

Focused on the post-Cold War nuclear world, this book explains how multiple nuclear powers and new technologies create a different strategic environment than the classic bipolar Cold War. It bridges history and present-day tensions. Read more

Nuclear Deterrence: Ethics and Strategy (Amazon)

A thoughtful exploration of ethical questions and strategic frameworks related to nuclear deterrence. This helps facilitators guide conversations on moral risk, justification of deterrence, and public responsibility. Read more

Under the Nuclear Shadow: China’s Information-Age Weapons in International Security (Amazon)

Although focused on China’s military strategy, it is highly relevant for understanding how nuclear and information-age technologies intersect with China’s strategic posture in the broader nuclear ecosystem — crucial for Topic 4’s focus on multipolarity. Read more

Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century: Lessons from the Cold War for a New Era (Amazon)

This book uses Cold War experience as a springboard to analyze contemporary deterrence challenges, helping participants see what’s changed and what strategic lessons carry over — ideal for bridging past and present in discussions. Read more

Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era: Regional Powers and International Conflict (Amazon)

A solid overview of how regional nuclear actors think about strategy and conflict. Useful for leaders looking to ground discussions of nuclear strategy beyond the U.S.–Russia paradigm. Read more

The Unfinished Twentieth Century (Amazon)

A shorter, accessible history that frames nuclear weapons as a defining global risk of the 20th century and beyond. Great for group members who want a readable primer on nuclear dangers and ethical urgency. Read more

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