Rising Health Problems and Alcohol in Russia
June 26, 2009 1 min. read

Whether or not Russia is a rising power (and it’s been suffering on the economic front lately), it certainly does have a national drinking problem.  The British medical journal The Lancet produced a study on worldwide use of alcohol and its relationship to cause of death.  It discovered a sobering statistic: that 1 in every […]

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OECD Economic Outlook: Should we still trust economists?
June 24, 2009 8 min. read

  Why should we trust them?  Economists in think tanks the world over got it wrong before this crisis.  Now, many of them point to the “Black Swan” event, the large-impact, hard-to-predict rare event, to explain away their flawed work and keep their jobs.  Yet the data were there – reversion of U.S. households to […]

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Decoupling Debate
June 24, 2009 3 min. read

The Great Recession was supposed to be the death of the decoupling debate. The theory that emerging markets were no longer dependent on developed countries for growth – and in some way insulated from the financial troubles in the West – was discredited as no one was left untouched by the economic crisis. Arvind Subramanian, […]

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The iBRIC
June 24, 2009 1 min. read

Who should be included in the group of the world’s biggest emerging markets? Sure, the grouping could be the BRIC, BIC or even IC, but maybe it should be the iBRIC. According to a report in Bloomberg News, Morgan Stanley believes Indonesia should be included in the so-called BRIC countries along with Brazil, Russia, India […]

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Rethinking Asia’s Rise
June 23, 2009 2 min. read

Is the global balance of power shifting from West to East? Minxin Pei, senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, argues in the latest issue of Foreign Policy that the hype about America’s decline and Asia’s rise is premature. Think Again: Asia’s Rise challenges the basic assumptions made about Asia’s emergence as a […]

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China and Russia – Friends or Foes?
June 19, 2009 2 min. read

China-Russia relations have markedly improved since the collapse of the Soviet Union, but potential problems between the neighboring giants loom on the horizon. David Shambaugh, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and director of the China Policy Program at George Washington University, published an opinion piece this week in The New York Times saying that […]

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Lula’s Take on the BRICs
June 19, 2009 2 min. read

In an op-ed published in papers in Brazil, Russia, India and China, Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva argued that the BRIC Summit demonstrated a “commitment to help provide fresh answers to old problems and to offer bold leadership in the face of inertia and indecision.” “BRIC is more than just a grouping of […]

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Obama on Iran: Good Analysis; Poor Judgment?
June 19, 2009 2 min. read

I applaud his hands-off approach, really quite unique for an American president, ensuring that conservatives in Iran have the least possible evidence of American interference in Iran’s affairs as possible. Yet the president should be careful in holding forth on foreign policy analytics, as he is not some snarky blogger seeking to impress readers, but rather the President of the United States…[…]

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Karim Sadjadpour on Iran…
June 17, 2009 4 min. read

Sadjadpour: We have to get inside the head of Ayatollah Khamenei…his world view is very clear. When you’re under siege, never compromise. Because if you compromise it’s going to project weakness. If he orders a mayor clampdown, I think we may start to see fissures within the regime’s shock troops. […]

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BRIC BRIC BRIC BRIC BRIC BRIC BRIC
June 17, 2009 3 min. read

It seems all the news is buzzing about it.  BRIC is suddenly real.  Its first-ever summit, coinciding with the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit in Yekaterinburg (see my last post) has launched the 4-nation bloc onto the world stage and has elevated the acronym BRIC into the realm of common diplomatic parlance.  Some news sources are […]

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Russia welcomes the SCO before BRIC
June 16, 2009 3 min. read

My colleague David Kampf pointed out that the BRIC leaders are meeting tomorrow in Yekaterinburg, Russia.   Before the BRIC meeting, however, an equally important and significant meeting took place today in the same location.  The six heads of state of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) met for a small summit.  The summit will continue tomorrow […]

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Netanyahu Speech: Coarse but Airs Israel’s Point of View
June 15, 2009 5 min. read

Netanyahu basically said in his speech, Here is our position; now come to us. He has adopted the Arab strategy: stake out a hard line and let others begin concessions. Netanyahu has stood up to Barack Obama, maybe not the last foreign leader to do so. […]

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