Still traveling, in Saint Louis for a speaking engagement after spending Thanksgiving with my Mom; but wanted to comment on the most recent crisis with North Korea. 2010 marks the 60th anniversary of the start of the Korean War and the 57th of the Mutual Defense Treaty we signed with South Korea. Yet though 60 […]
In international relations theory, there’s a lot of talk about the offensive advantage, that being the advantage a country gains by striking first in a military conflict. There’s comparatively less written about the defensive advantage. When a country is attacked, the victim population is galvanized against the attacker and neutral states may also turn against […]
Every informed and honest observer has known since 2002-3 that Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapons program and that, in the absence of a general regional agreement, nothing ultimately will stop it from obtaining nuclear arms. It’s also pretty clear that the holocaust deniers currently running the country might actually use their bombs, and use […]
The International Panel on Fissile Materials, a MacArthur-supported international group of scientists that has been promoting a treaty to terminate production of explosive material for nuclear weapons, has learned from the Indian government that it will not be allowed to hold a meeting it planned for December in Delhi. According to a news report that […]
Proprietorship of information is an integral part of any nation’s foreign policy and national security. Ultimately, through collecting, maintaining, and exploiting secrets, governments can accrue advantages over both adversaries and partners, whether political, military, or even economic. Conversely, loss of such an advantage can have unforeseen and particularly damning consequences. One such consequence, as appears […]
It’s only the media–not a special, dedicated tunnel team–who might believe the identification of Guzman as the tunnel mastermind qualifies as breaking news.Any agent who’s worked the southwest border for a while already knows that if a tunnel or any other kind of operation is high-end, it’s almost certainly the work of “El Chapo”…
Seeking to limit fallout from the latest North Korean uranium enrichment disclosures, Obama officials have been implying they kind of knew about it all along, which is kind of true inasmuch as concern about the subject reached well back into the previous administration. But Siegfried Hecker, hands-down the leading authority on North Korean nuclear activities, […]
The critics of the Federal Reserve don’t get it. Here are two articles in the WSJ and NYTimes that describe the withering ideological attack the US central bank has sustained since the onset of the global financial crisis. In recent posts, Nov. 15 and Nov. 18, I have argued that deflation risk is real and requires unorthodox thinking and action by […]
Latin America appeared in force at the G-20 Summit in Seoul. Two of the three Latin American presidents there were women, Presidents Dilma Rousseff of Brazil and Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner of Argentina, who likewise represented half of the female leaders at the G-20. Unprecedented. Latin interests in the G-20 are diverse, given Argentina’s heavy […]
We can be pretty sure Stuxnet targeted Iran’s Natanz uranium enrichment plant, and we know, because of its enormous complexity and sophistication, that large resources went into its development. But did those who built and launched it achieve their objective? The New York Times concluded one of two recent articles on stuxnet with a skeptical […]
As Patrick Frost of the FPA Afghanistan blog noted last week, the Asia Foundation recently released a report on Afghan public opinion. It paints a seemingly optimistic picture of the prospects for an ISAF success. The most newsworthy finding is that a majority of Afghans now show no support for armed insurgents. Only 40% say […]
Former Afghan Finance Minister and presidential candidate Ashraf Ghani was highly critical of United Nations operations in Afghanistan, lamenting what he said was a lack of transparency. “The UN should shut down in Afghanistan,” he said on a panel about the country’s future. “They are not transparent, they are not accountable, they are not responsive.” […]
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